Oregon High School 6A (formerly 4A) State XC Projections

Analysis: (# of teams)
Exact Score:
Score within 10 pts:
Score within 20 pts:
Score within 30 pts:
Worst Score:
Exact Place:
Place within 1:
Place within 2:
Worst Place:
Trophy (top-4) Teams:
Victory Margin: (?)
% avg's:
2015
0 (0%)
11 (31%)
19 (53%)
28 (78%)
-114
17 (47%)
24 (67%)
30 (83%)
-4 / +4
3 + 4 (88%)
24 / 33 pts
55.9%
'15 raw
0 (0%)
9 (25%)
18 (50%)
24 (67%)
-100
13 (36%)
24 (67%)
29 (81%)
-5
4 + 4 (100%)
17 / 33 pts
53.3%
2014
0 (0%)
8 (22%)
13 (36%)
20 (56%)
-174
9 (25%)
19 (53%)
27 (75%)
-5 / +5
3 + 4 (88%)
31 / 25 pts
44.4%
2013
0 (0%)
8 (33%)
17 (71%)
21 (88%)
+38
9 (38%)
18 (75%)
20 (83%)
+4
2 + 3 (63%)
30 / 11 pts
56.4%
2012
1 (4%)
13 (54%)
17 (71%)
21 (88%)
-41
11 (46%)
18 (75%)
23 (96%)
-3
4 + 3 (88%)
18 / 2 pts
65.3%
2011
0 (0%)
11 (46%)
19 (79%)
23 (96%)
-50
11 (46%)
21 (88%)
24 (100%)
+2 / -2
4 + 4 (100%)
0 / 5 pts
69.4%
2010
0 (0%)
8 (33%)
15 (63%)
17 (71%)
-52
9 (38%)
20 (83%)
23 (96%)
+3
3 + 4 (88%)
30 / 34 pts
48.6%
2008
2 (7%)
11 (39%)
16 (57%)
20 (71%)
+118 *
12 (43%)
20 (71%)
22 (79%)
+6 *
3 + 4 (88%)
34 / 36 pts
56.9%
2007
1 (4%)
10 (36%)
16 (57%)
22 (79%)
+99
6 (21%)
14 (50%)
21 (75%)
+9
3 + 3 (75%)
7 / 38 pts
49.6%
2006
1 (4%)
8 (29%)
13 (46%)
17 (61%)
-82
10 (36%)
17 (61%)
24 (86%)
+5
3 + 3 (75%)
6 / 3 pts
49.8%
2005
1 (3%)
10 (28%)
14 (39%)
24 (67%)
+151
8 (22%)
16 (44%)
23 (64%)
-7
4 + 3 (88%)
4 / 11 pts
44.4%

* for corresponding note, see right column notes within that year's table below.
* percents are based on 18 (x2) teams in 2005, 14 teams for 2006-08, 12 teams for 2010-13, and 18 teams for 2014-17.
* red highlights indicate the best year for that particular summary stat.

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track. Special thanks to David Bowdoin and athletic.net for help with automating the 2015 data collection.

2015 Boys Team Projections
1) (108) Wilson
2) (109) Lincoln
3) (121) Jesuit
4) (143) Sunset
5) (149) Central Catholic
6) (178) South Eugene
7) (198) West Linn
8) (213) Sheldon
9) (223) Aloha
10) (274) West Salem
11) (301) Forest Grove
12) (302) Grant
13) (308) Lakeridge
14) (341) Grants Pass
15) (343) McMinnville
16) (422) Newberg
17) (488) Reynolds
18) (540) Oregon City
2015 Boys Results
1) (87) Central Catholic
2) (112) Lincoln
3) (142) Wilson
4) (145) Jesuit
5) (167) South Eugene
6) (171) Sunset
7) (203) West Linn
8) (226) Aloha
9) (231) Lakeridge
10) (235) Sheldon
11) (277) Forest Grove
12) (311) Grant
13) (318) West Salem
14) (325) Grants Pass
15) (365) McMinnville
16) (374) Reynolds
17) (452) Newberg
18) (493) Oregon City
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-62, -4)
(+3, same)
(+34, +2)
(+24, +1)
(-11, -1)
(+28, +2)
(+5, same)
(+3, -1)
(-77, -4)
(+22, +2)
(-24, same)
(+9, same)
(+44, +3)
(-16, same)
(+22, same)
(-114, -1)
(+30, +1)
(-47, same)
2015 Girls Team Projections
1) (35) Sunset
2) (77) Jesuit
3) (92) Sheldon
4) (167) Grant
5) (194) Lincoln
6) (224) Tualatin
7) (224) St Mary's
8) (227) South Eugene
9) (229) Aloha
10) (291) Franklin
11) (307) Oregon City
12) (308) Lakeridge
13) (309) North Medford
14) (318) Clackamas
15) (382) Sprague
16) (388) South Salem
17) (400) Forest Grove
18) (422) David Douglas
2015 Girls Results
1) (45) Sunset
2) (54) Jesuit
3) (89) Sheldon
4) (155) Grant
5) (187) Lincoln
6) (196) Tualatin
7) (235) St Mary's
8) (237) Aloha
9) (252) South Eugene
10) (294) Lakeridge
11) (299) Clackamas
12) (309) Franklin
13) (323) North Medford
14) (339) Forest Grove
15) (341) Oregon City
16) (382) South Salem
17) (392) Sprague
18) (429) David Douglas
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+10, same)
(-23, same)
(-3, same)
(-12, same)
(-7, same)
(-28, same)
(+11, same)
(+8, -1)
(+25, +1)
(-14, -2)
(-19, -3)
(+18, +2)
(+14, same)
(-61, -3)
(+34, +4)
(-6, same)
(+10, +2)
(+7, same)
2015 Boys Full Projections
2015 Girls Full Projections
2015 Results  
New for '15, raw rankings prior to full projections: Boys, Girls
  • 2015 was the first year of experimenting with automated data collection, doing away with manual filtering of apparent outliers, different adjustments for teams within a league when necessary, etc. It turned out rather well, being among the more accurate years to-date. The one glaring issue was over-adjusting the MHC boys; Central Catholic, Reynolds, and Oregon City scored much lower than projected.
  • Comparing both the raw rankings and projections to actual results, the projections were slightly more accurate, but not by as much as I would like to see. The main difference is that the raw numbers were more favorable to the MHC boys, resulting in getting all the trophy teams right.

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2014 Boys Team Projections
1) (53) Central Catholic
2) (147) Sheldon
3) (148) South Eugene
4) (151) Sunset
5) (158) Jesuit
6) (171) Lincoln
7) (192) Forest Grove
8) (219) West Linn
9) (265) Wilson
10) (269) West Salem
11) (276) South Medford
12) (276) Grant
13) (302) Lakeridge
14) (326) David Douglas
15) (381) Westview
16) (392) Tualatin
17) (454) McMinnville
18) (455) Reynolds
2014 Boys Results
1) (54) Central Catholic
2) (117) Sunset
3) (133) South Eugene
4) (161) West Linn
5) (186) Sheldon
6) (195) Lincoln
7) (204) Grant
8) (220) West Salem
9) (243) Wilson
10) (261) Jesuit
11) (262) Forest Grove
12) (274) Lakeridge
13) (280) South Medford
14) (315) David Douglas
15) (354) Tualatin
16) (366) Westview
17) (385) Reynolds
18) (412) McMinnville
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+1, same)
(-34, -2)
(-15, same)
(-58, -4)
(+39, +3)
(+24, same ... #2 runner DNF)
(-72, -5)
(-49, -2)
(-22, same)
(+103, +5 ... #1 DNF)
(+70, +4 ... co-#1 DNF)
(-28, -1)
(+4, +2)
(-11, same)
(-38, -1)
(-15, +1)
(-70, -1)
(-42, +1)
2014 Girls Team Projections
1) (47) Sunset
2) (72) Jesuit
3) (96) St Mary's
4) (130) South Eugene
5) (149) Aloha
6) (179) Grant
7) (262) Shelddn
8) (271) Wilson
9) (288) Tigard
10) (294) Central Catholic
11) (311) Oregon City
12) (314) Sherwood
13) (323) Clackamas
14) (328) South Medford
15) (343) Franklin
16) (394) Forest Grove
17) (473) McMinnville
18) (565) West Albany
2014 Girls Results
1) (66) South Eugene
2) (66) Sunset
3) (98) St Mary's
4) (112) Jesuit
5) (169) Grant
6) (184) Aloha
7) (248) Sheldon
8) (250) Wilson
9) (300) Clackamas
10) (310) Sherwood
11) (314) Tigard
12) (316) Oregon City
13) (322) Central Catholic
14) (336) Forest Grove
15) (340) Franklin
16) (391) West Albany
17) (424) South Medford
18) (464) McMinnville
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-64, -3)
(+19, +1)
(+2, same)
(+40, +2)
(-10, -1)
(+35, +1)
(-14, same)
(-21, same)
(-23, -4)
(-4, -2)
(+26, +2)
(+5, +1)
(+28, +3)
(-58, -2)
(-3, same)
(-174, -2)
(+96, +3 ... #1 runner DNF)
(-9, +1)
2014 Boys Full Projections - revised 10/28
2014 Girls Full Projections
2014 Results  

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2013 Boys Team Projections
1) (51) Central Catholic
2) (82) Sheldon
3) (141) Grant
4) (141) Lincoln
5) (141) West Linn
6) (145) South Eugene
7) (154) Aloha
8) (190) Glencoe
9) (193) Forest Grove
10) (238) Reynolds
11) (274) South Salem
12) (322) West Salem
2013 Boys Results
1) (33) Central Catholic
2) (94) Sheldon
3) (118) South Eugene
4) (148) Aloha
5) (148) West Linn
6) (157) Grant
7) (168) Forest Grove
8) (177) Lincoln
9) (181) Glencoe
10) (271) Reynolds
11) (300) South Salem
12) (328) West Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-18, same)
(+12, same)
(-27, -3)
(-6, -3)
(+7, same)
(+16, +3)
(-25, -2)
(+36, +4)
(-9, +1)
(+33, same)
(+26, same)
(+6, same)
2013 Girls Team Projections
1) (53) St Mary's
2) (57) Sunset
3) (85) South Eugene
4) (122) Grant
5) (127) Jesuit
6) (157) Sheldon
7) (223) Gresham
8) (230) Tigard
9) (238) Forest Grove
10) (241) Clackamas
11) (249) West Salem
12) (263) South Salem
2013 Girls Results
1) (56) Sunset
2) (71) St. Mary's
3) (97) South Eugene
4) (99) Jesuit
5) (108) Grant
6) (166) Sheldon
7) (220) Forest Grove
8) (237) Gresham
9) (239) Tigard
10) (251) West Salem
11) (259) Clackamas
12) (301) South Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-1, -1)
(+18, +1)
(+12, same)
(-28, -1)
(-14, +1)
(+9, same)
(-18, -2)
(+14, +1)
(+9, +1)
(+2, -1)
(+18, +1)
(+38, same)
2013 Boys Full Projections
2013 Girls Full Projections (updated 11/01)
2013 Results  

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2012 Boys Team Projections
1. (54) Jesuit
2. (60) Central Catholic
3. (114) North Medford
4. (129) Sheldon
5. (130) Lakeridge
6. (149) Lincoln
7. (159) West Linn
8. (196) Barlow
9. (225) Forest Grove
10. (240) Tualatin
11. (264) West Salem
12. (386) McNary
2012 Boys Results
1. (52) Central Catholic
2. (76) Jesuit
3. (85) North Medford
4. (127) Sheldon
5. (148) Lakeridge
6. (164) Barlow
7. (172) Lincoln
8. (176) West Linn
9. (221) Forest Grove
10. (250) West Salem
11. (252) Tualatin
12. (377) McNary
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-8, -1)
(+22, +1)
(-29, same)
(-2, same)
(+18, same)
(-32, -2)
(+23, +1)
(+17, +1)
(-4, same)
(-14, -1)
(+12, +1)
(-9, same)
2012 Girls Team Projections
1. (70) Jesuit
2. (74) Grant
3. (87) South Eugene
4. (89) Sunset
5. (90) St Mary's
6. (180) South Medford
7. (204) Lakeridge
8. (242) Newberg
9. (243) Gresham
10. (248) Forest Grove
11. (287) West Salem
12. (306) South Salem
2012 Girls Results
1. (66) Grant
2. (68) St. Mary's
3. (76) Jesuit
4. (82) Sunset
5. (95) South Eugene
6. (180) South Medford
7. (236) Lakeridge
8. (238) Forest Grove
9. (244) Gresham
10. (246) Newberg
11. (246) West Salem
12. (302) South Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-8, -1)
(-22, -3)
(+6, +2 ... #2 runner DNF, ~11th with 1/2 mi to go)
(-7, same)
(+8, +2)
(same, same)
(+32, same)
(-10, -2)
(+1, same)
(+4, +2)
(-41, same)
(-4, same)
2012 Boys Full Projections
2012 Girls Full Projections
2012 Results (PDF)  

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2011 Boys Team Projections
1. (68) South Eugene
2. (89) Central Catholic
3. (94) Jesuit
4. (97) Crater
5. (136) Barlow
6. (164) Lake Oswego
7. (185) Lakeridge
8. (191) Lincoln
9. (191) Forest Grove
10. (276) Tualatin
11. (294) West Salem
12. (294) North Salem
2011 Boys Results
1. (56) South Eugene
2. (77) Central Catholic
3. (93) Crater
4. (97) Jesuit
5. (149) Barlow
6. (164) Lakeridge
7. (176) Lincoln
8. (192) Lake Oswego
9. (218) Forest Grove
10. (268) Tualatin
11. (286) West Salem
12. (290) North Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-12, same)
(-12, same)
(-4, -1)
(+3, +1)
(+13, same)
(-21, -1)
(-15, -1)
(+28, +2)
(+27, same)
(-8, same)
(-8, same)
(-4, same)
2011 Girls Team Projections
1. (58) South Eugene
2. (63) Jesuit
3. (72) Crater
4. (75) Sunset
5. (138) St. Mary's
6. (201) South Salem
7. (210) Lakeridge
8. (221) Grant
9. (240) Forest Grove
10. (241) Gresham
11. (273) Redmond
12. (284) Newberg
2011 Girls Results
1. (53) South Eugene
2. (63) Crater
3. (70) Jesuit
4. (94) Sunset
5. (146) St. Mary's
6. (176) South Salem
7. (203) Grant
8. (223) Forest Grove
9. (223) Lakeridge
10. (234) Newberg
11. (251) Gresham
12. (263) Redmond
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-5, same)
(-9, -1)
(+7, +1)
(+19, same)
(+8, same)
(-25, same)
(-18, -1)
(-17, -1)
(+13, +2)
(-50, -2)
(+10, +1)
(-10, +1)
2011 Boys Full Projections
2011 Girls Full Projections
2011 Results (PDF)
All classes combined results
 

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2010 Boys Team Projections
1. (49) Crater
2. (95) Jesuit
3. (98) Central Catholic
4. (122) West Linn
5. (128) South Eugene
6. (146) Reynolds
7. (160) Beaverton
8. (183) Tigard
9. (254) Lakeridge
10. (255) West Salem
11. (266) Forest Grove
12. (306) North Salem
2010 Boys Results
1. (59) Crater
2. (75) Central Catholic
3. (101) Jesuit
4. (104) Reynolds
5. (108) Beaverton
6. (142) South Eugene
7. (157) West Linn
8. (169) Tigard
9. (231) Lakeridge
10. (233) Forest Grove
11. (262) West Salem
12. (338) North Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+10, same)
(-23, -1)
(+6, +1)
(-42, -2)
(-52, -2)
(+14, +1)
(+35, +3)
(-14, same)
(-23, same)
(-33, -1)
(+7, +1)
(+32, same)
2010 Girls Team Projections
1. (34) Jesuit
2. (96) South Eugene
3. (106) Crater
4. (116) St. Mary's
5. (126) South Salem
6. (174) Tualatin
7. (188) Lakeridge
8. (190) Lincoln
9. (222) Tigard
10. (232) Grant
11. (275) Redmond
12. (297) Barlow
2010 Girls Results
1. (48) Jesuit
2. (76) South Eugene
3. (99) Crater
4. (101) St. Mary's
5. (158) South Salem
6. (180) Lincoln
7. (193) Tualatin
8. (193) Lakeridge
9. (212) Grant
10. (230) Tigard
11. (259) Barlow
12. (280) Redmond
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+14, same)
(-20, same)
(-7, same)
(-15, same)
(+32, same)
(-10, -2)
(+19, +1)
(+5, +1)
(-20, -1)
(+8, +1)
(-38, -1)
(+5, +1)
2010 Boys Full Projections
2010 Girls Full Projections
2010 Results (PDF)  

The projections took a 1-year hiatus in 2009 due to insufficient consistency from week to week and course to course, resulting from crazy weather, wide-spread illness (year of the swine flu), and lots of apparently mismeasured courses. These factors combined to make the course comparison methodology of the projections a complete waste of time.

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2008 Boys Team Projections
1. (37) Jesuit
2. (123) Central Catholic
3. (142) West Linn
4. (158) Tigard
5. (164) Lake Oswego
6. (180) South Eugene
7. (185) Tualatin
8. (185) Lincoln
9. (210) North Medford
10. (212) Southridge
11. (245) South Salem
12. (248) Franklin
13. (268) Reynolds
14. (332) West Salem
2008 Boys Results (Final Poll)
1. (27) Jesuit (#1)
2. (79) Central Catholic (#2)
3. (142) West Linn (#3t)
4. (163) Lake Oswego (#10)
5. (164) South Eugene (#6)
6. (177) North Medford (#12)
7. (185) Tualatin (#7)
8. (202) Reynolds (--)
9. (215) Lincoln (#8)
10. (227) Tigard (#3t)
11. (238) Franklin (#9)
12. (275) South Salem (#14t)
13. (330) Southridge (#5)
14. (338) West Salem (#14t)
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-10, same)
(-44, same)
(same, same)
(-1, -1)
(-16, -1)
(-33, -3)
(same, same)
(-66, -5)
(+30, +1)
(+69, +6 ... #1 runner did not run)
(-10, -1)
(+30, +1)
(+118, +3 ... #1 runner DNF)
(+6, same)
2008 Girls Team Projections
1. (44) Jesuit
2. (80) St. Mary's
3. (148) South Eugene
4. (150) South Medford
5. (155) Tualatin
6. (182) Franklin
7. (187) Hood River
8. (195) West Linn
9. (198) Sunset
10. (213) Lincoln
11. (265) South Salem
12. (279) Lake Oswego
13. (290) Canby
14. (303) West Salem
2008 Girls Results (Final Poll)
1. (36) Jesuit (#1)
2. (108) St. Mary's (#2)
3. (129) South Medford (#7)
4. (139) South Eugene (#5)
5. (166) Tualatin (#3)
6. (169) Lincoln (#8)
7. (182) Sunset (#9)
8. (192) Hood River (#10)
9. (198) Franklin (#4)
10. (209) West Linn (#6)
11. (251) South Salem (#11)
12. (277) Lake Oswego (#14)
13. (280) Canby (--)
14. (348) West Salem (#12t)
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-8, same)
(+28, same)
(-21, -1)
(-9, +1)
(+11, same)
(-44, -4)
(-16, -2)
(+5, +1)
(+16, +3 ... #2 runner DNF)
(+14, +2)
(-14, same)
(-2, same)
(-10, same)
(+45, same)
2008 Boys Full Projections
2008 Girls Full Projections
2008 Boys Results (PDF)
2008 Girls Results (PDF)
 

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2007 Boys Team Projections
1. (53) Central Catholic
2. (81) Jesuit
3. (151) North Medford
4. (152) South Eugene
5. (157) Grant
6. (166) West Salem
7. (174) Clackamas
8. (224) West Linn
9. (235) Newberg
10. (247) Sunset
11. (252) Franklin
12. (256) Forest Grove
13. (260) McKay
14. (325) Reynolds
2007 Boys Results (Final Poll)
1. (32) Central Catholic (#1)
2. (67) Jesuit (#2)
3. (147) Grant (#5)
4. (150) South Eugene (#3)
5. (156) North Medford (#4)
6. (164) Clackamas (#6)
7. (172) Newberg (#9)
8. (220) West Salem (#7)
9. (227) Franklin (--)
10. (228) West Linn (#8)
11. (282) Forest Grove (#11)
12. (288) McKay (--)
13. (306) Reynolds (--)
14. (319) Sunset (#10)
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-21, same)
(-14, same)
(-10, -2)
(-2, same)
(+5, +2)
(-10, -1)
(-63, -2)
(+54, +2)
(-25, -2)
(+4, +2)
(+26, -1)
(+28, -1)
(-19, -1)
(+72, +4)
2007 Girls Team Projections
1. (26) Jesuit
2. (92) St. Mary's
3. (134) Tualatin
4. (156) South Eugene
5. (199) Gresham
6. (203) Tigard
7. (214) Lincoln
8. (217) West Linn
9. (224) Westview
10. (225) Lake Oswego
11. (228) South Salem
12. (233) South Medford
13. (291) Sprague
14. (313) Grant
2007 Girls Results (Final Poll)
1. (35) Jesuit (#1)
2. (63) St. Mary's (#2)
3. (139) South Eugene (#3)
4. (184) Lake Oswego (#10)
5. (186) Gresham (#6)
6. (206) Westview (#9)
7. (217) West Linn (#7)
8. (218) South Medford (#11)
9. (220) South Salem (#8)
10. (224) Lincoln (--)
11. (232) Tigard (#4t)
12. (233) Tualatin (#4t)
13. (304) Grant (--)
14. (324) Sprague (--)
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+9, same)
(-29, same)
(-17, -1)
(-41, -6)
(-13, same)
(-18, -3)
(same, -1)
(-15, -4)
(-8, -2)
(+10, +3)
(+29, +5)
(+99, +9)
(-9, -1)
(+33, +1)
2007 Boys Full Projections
2007 Girls Full Projections
2007 Boys Results (PDF)
2007 Girls Results (PDF)
 

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2006 Boys Team Projections
1. (52) Central Catholic
2. (64) Jesuit
3. (98) Lincoln
4. (135) Canby
5. (161) South Eugene
6. (162) North Medford
7. (187) Clackamas
8. (232) West Salem
9. (236) Forest Grove
10. (250) Beaverton
11. (252) Reynolds
12. (256) Lakeridge
13. (325) Franklin
14. (342) McKay
2006 Boys Results
1. (56) Central Catholic
2. (58) Jesuit
3. (64) Lincoln
4. (143) North Medford
5. (147) Clackamas
6. (151) South Eugene
7. (191) Forest Grove
8. (200) Beaverton
9. (204) Canby
10. (242) West Salem
11. (271) Lakeridge
12. (281) Reynolds
13. (302) Franklin
14. (409) McKay
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+4, same)
(-6, same)
(-34, same)
(-19, -2)
(-40, -2)
(-10, +1)
(-45, -2)
(-50, -2)
(+69, +5)
(+12, +2)
(+15, -1)
(+29, +1)
(-23, same)
(+67, same)
2006 Girls Team Projections
1. (43) Jesuit
2. (91) Sunset
3. (120) South Eugene
4. (137) Sheldon
5. (178) South Salem
6. (190) St. Mary's
7. (203) Tualatin
8. (204) Tigard
9. (242) Clackamas
10. (245) West Linn
11. (248) Lincoln
12. (258) Gresham
13. (273) Redmond
14. (336) Franklin
2006 Girls Results
1. (56) Jesuit
2. (101) Sunset
3. (120) South Eugene
4. (121) Tualatin
5. (162) St. Mary's
6. (197) Sheldon
7. (205) Tigard
8. (210) Lincoln
9. (221) South Salem
10. (238) Clackamas
11. (239) Gresham
12. (242) West Linn
13. (312) Redmond
14. (363) Franklin
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(+13, same)
(+10, same)
(same, same)
(-82, -3)
(-28, -1)
(+60, +2)
(+1, -1)
(-38, -3)
(+43, +4)
(-4, +1)
(-19, -1)
(-3, +2)
(+39, same)
(+27, same)
2006 Boys Full Projections
2006 Girls Full Projections
2006 Boys Results (PDF)
2006 Girls Results (PDF)
 

Presented by: VOQ Training for Cross Country & Track

2005 Boys Team Projections
1. (47) Central Catholic
2. (145) Summit
3. (147) Grant
4. (150) Jesuit
5. (161) St. Helens
6. (177) Hermiston
7. (207) South Eugene
8. (210) Clackamas
9. (220) Thurston
10. (248) Franklin
11. (259) Canby
12. (287) Ashland
13. (307) Forest Grove
14. (308) Centennial
15. (350) Crescent Valley
16. (360) North Medford
17. (414) Beaverton
18. (475) North Salem
2005 Boys Results
1. (23) Central Catholic
2. (117) Summit
3. (140) Jesuit
4. (140) Grant
5. (177) Hermiston
6. (206) South Eugene
7. (210) Canby
8. (226) Ashland
9. (227) Clackamas
10. (257) St. Helens
11. (266) Thurston
12. (275) Franklin
13. (286) North Medford
14. (320) Crescent Valley
15. (337) Forest Grove
16. (339) Beaverton
17. (459) Centennial
18. (472) North Salem
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-24, same)
(-28, same)
(-10, -1)
(-7, +1)
(same, -1)
(-1, -1)
(-49, -4)
(-61, -4)
(+17, +1)
(+96, +5)
(+46, +2)
(+27, +2)
(-74, +3)
(-30, -1)
(+30, +2)
(-75, -1)
(+151, +3)
(-3, same)
2005 Girls Team Projections
1. (68) Jesuit
2. (152) South Eugene
3. (186) Sunset
4. (196) Redmond
5. (202) Ashland
6. (215) Sheldon
7. (216) North Medford
8. (218) Lincoln
9. (221) Summit
10. (225) Crescent Valley
11. (234) West Linn
12. (237) Tualatin
13. (241) Clackamas
14. (333) Centennial
15. (374) South Salem
16. (374) Barlow
17. (379) Canby
18. (388) Grant
2005 Girls Results
1. (60) Jesuit
2. (155) South Eugene
3. (158) Sunset
4. (181) North Medford
5. (192) Tualatin
6. (203) Summit
7. (211) Clackamas
8. (215) Lincoln
9. (217) Ashland
10. (232) Redmond
11. (239) Sheldon
12. (252) Crescent Valley
13. (265) West Linn
14. (344) Centennial
15. (364) Grant
16. (381) Canby
17. (383) South Salem
18. (506) Barlow
(Pts/Place Discrepancy)
(-8, same)
(+3, same)
(-28, same)
(-35, -3)
(-45, -7)
(-18, -3)
(-30, -6)
(-3, same)
(+15, +4)
(+36, +6)
(+24, +5)
(+27, +2)
(+31, +2)
(+11, same)
(-24, -3)
(+2, -1)
(+9, +2)
(+132, +2)
2005 Boys Full Projections
2005 Girls Full Projections
2005 Boys Results (PDF)
2005 Girls Results (PDF)
 

 

Who am I? Dan Kaplan, head XC coach at McKay HS from 2006 to 2008. I was the assistant coach when I first did these projections in '05. It began as an estimate of how our teams would fare in the State meet, if qualified, then grew into a full ranking of everyone qualified for State. Being unbiased in the projections when our team is involved is always difficult, but I do my best to not be a homer!

Unlike most predictions, I come back after the fact and analyze how good (or bad) they turned out to be...