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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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Posted: Wed May 05, 2004 6:22 pm Post subject: Olympic Champions Amongst "Normals" |
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According to the normal distribution of skills theory (yes, theory) 0.135% of people should be super talented in one way or another, 2.145% should be gifted, and 13.59% should be above average. In addition, 68.26% of people should be average, and almost 16% challenged with respect to a specific skill.
This approach is most controversial when applied to intellectual abilities such as IQ However, this approach has been widely accepted and used when it comes to other abilities such as athletic ability.
My contention is that an insignificant number of people who are in the above--mentioned super--talented, gifted, and above--average groups participate in the track and field activities or participate in the track and field activities at the professional level.
Therefore, I should be able to estimate the number of the runners in the state of New Jersey who participate in the 5 K road races, and who belong to the above--mentioned five groups.
It would be interesting to create a hypothesis how "a failed-Olympian" or the member of the super--gifted group is performing in the amateur 5k road races.
I do not want to analyze all the 5 K road races in New Jersey. I want to 'guess' a rather reliable sample: the 5 K Open Championships race, a rather fast race, and a rather slow race. Just three races to get this project off the ground. _________________ http://vincovitanj.tripod.com/Do_not_be_a_victim1/index.htmlhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u43o595CARQ
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x22Alfgv0DY
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LgcD2akmeJc
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TB0RcWYMwXU
one hand clapping |
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Dan Chief Pontificator

Joined: 22 Mar 1999 Posts: 9334 Location: Salem, OR
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Posted: Wed May 05, 2004 9:25 pm Post subject: |
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Quote: | My contention is that an insignificant number of people who are in the above--mentioned super--talented, gifted, and above--average groups participate in the track and field activities or participate in the track and field activities at the professional level. |
What do you base that contention on? Why would it be an insignificant portion of that grouop? I see no connection there.
Dan _________________ phpbb:include($_GET[RFI]) |
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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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Dan Chief Pontificator

Joined: 22 Mar 1999 Posts: 9334 Location: Salem, OR
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Posted: Sat May 08, 2004 9:36 pm Post subject: |
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That strikes me as a very flawed theory. 0.135% are super talented in some respect. Great. What's that say about Olympians? Nothing at all. Being super talented is only one component of many that goes into making a great athlete. One such significant component is if sports are even their pertinent area of greatness. That's going to significantly reduce your 37,800 number, so how do you conclude an insignificant number of super talented types go into T&F? You first need some sort of distribution of what the likelihood is of each area of talent.
Doesn't make any sense to me...
Dan _________________ phpbb:include($_GET[RFI]) |
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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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Dan Chief Pontificator

Joined: 22 Mar 1999 Posts: 9334 Location: Salem, OR
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Posted: Sun May 09, 2004 12:48 pm Post subject: |
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I have no idea what you're trying to establish...
Dan _________________ phpbb:include($_GET[RFI]) |
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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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Dan Chief Pontificator

Joined: 22 Mar 1999 Posts: 9334 Location: Salem, OR
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Posted: Tue May 11, 2004 8:12 am Post subject: |
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Those are reasonable goals, but I don't see any way you can tie IQ-like percentile numbers for overall population abilities to performance scales in a specific sport. Mental gymnastics, if you ask me.
Dan _________________ phpbb:include($_GET[RFI]) |
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Indeurr Olympic Medalist

Joined: 08 Aug 2001 Posts: 1558 Location: Elizabeth, NJ, 07202
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